The world is entering a new reality where climate extremes are the norm, the United Nations secretary-general Antonio Guterres warned Monday, urging leaders at the COP31 climate conference in Turkey to “get serious.”
“A supersized El Niño is colliding with a planet already superheated by man-made climate change,” the UN chief said in a statement.
“We have entered a new age of climate extremes.”
As leaders gathered in Antalya for the UN climate summit, Guterres called on them to “get serious by cutting emissions faster, accelerating a just transition from fossil fuels and delivering the finance and protection vulnerable countries need.”
His statement came as the UN’s World Meteorological Organisation released a report indicating that 2026 has continued a streak of exceptional global temperatures, melting ice and rising sea levels.
Each of the past 12 years has been among the hottest 12 years on record, the agency said, with this year expected to be among the hottest ever.
– ‘Off the charts’ –
“What we are seeing gives new meaning to the phrase off the charts,” WMO chief Celeste Saulo told reporters in Geneva, cautioning that the current exceptionally strong El Niño could unleash more heat and extreme weather well into next year.
“We should prepare for another record-breaking year in 2027.”
The global average surface temperature between January and September this year was around 1.47 degrees Celsius above the pre-industrial average, the WMO said.
And this year’s El Niño — expected to be the strongest since 1950 at least — could push the figure higher by the end of the year
Preliminary data show 2026 is figuring among the four hottest years on record, WMO climate information chief John Kenned told reporters, adding though that “with the El Niño developing, we might see when the final numbers come in that we’re close to the top.”
The naturally occurring weather phenomenon releases heat from the ocean, which this year has been the warmest ever measured, Saulo pointed out.
El Niño is declared when the sea surface temperature is half a degree above average in the tropical Pacific, but from now through January, WMO forecasts “it may be 3.8C above average,” she said.
The WMO also reported that the global sea level was the highest on record, freshwater was dwindling, and glaciers were continuing a long-term retreat.
In 2025, the annual mass loss of ice was enough to fill five Olympic pools every second that year, it said.
At the same time, “we are supercharging our weather and El Niño will be a risk multiplier,” Saulo said, warning that “heatwaves, tropical cyclones and rainstorms are intensifying faster than our historical baselines prepared us for.”
On a positive note, the WMO hailed a significant increase in the number of countries with essential multi-hazard early warning systems in place, from 55 in 2015 to 136 last year.
It urged the COP31 to ensure more investment in sustained global observations, data-gathering and forecasting needed for such systems to work.
“We cannot afford to fly blind,” Saulo said.
AFP
